Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.254313 2.699560 3.198820 3.798508 4.497565 5.284953 6.237172
2025-12-21 1.608609 2.170950 2.869694 3.795092 4.980957 6.441348 8.366612
2025-12-28 1.301728 1.937031 2.794633 4.021736 5.714217 7.945286 11.083259
2026-01-04 1.060020 1.717758 2.671531 4.129014 6.266900 9.247891 13.667693
2026-01-11 0.902776 1.577076 2.617896 4.301068 6.902600 10.705161 16.595565
2026-01-18 0.748453 1.403893 2.476704 4.305180 7.270126 11.793171 19.081048
2026-01-25 0.602221 1.211014 2.265792 4.156403 7.364757 12.459626 20.975524
2026-02-01 0.487293 1.047877 2.073375 4.001140 7.414736 13.041066 22.767912
2026-02-08 0.415405 0.949871 1.977075 3.992527 7.699256 14.012918 25.255850
2026-02-15 0.358421 0.869255 1.898234 4.000293 8.005622 15.039004 27.909680
2026-02-22 0.305527 0.785748 1.799058 3.952650 8.199907 15.880833 30.309107
2026-03-01 0.248886 0.681127 1.638829 3.759877 8.094393 16.173290 31.759475
2026-03-08 0.213358 0.619258 1.560771 3.727458 8.302938 17.070064 34.400203
2026-03-15 0.184517 0.567401 1.496103 3.714015 8.547452 18.056195 37.290553
2026-03-22 0.173940 0.561074 1.535214 3.933056 9.293603 20.065627 42.261818
2026-03-29 0.157836 0.535786 1.524570 4.037183 9.806212 21.658099 46.551677
2026-04-05 0.146735 0.522293 1.540769 4.205472 10.474266 23.613439 51.692216
2026-04-12 0.129423 0.485790 1.491616 4.209402 10.775956 24.843558 55.477137
2026-04-19 0.108624 0.432584 1.388269 4.063583 10.718381 25.317295 57.760145
2026-04-26 0.090848 0.384138 1.288621 3.911441 10.626207 25.704459 59.885641
2026-05-03 0.080175 0.357377 1.246048 3.903000 10.875950 26.850251 63.682647
2026-05-10 0.071301 0.334648 1.211278 3.910608 11.165165 28.104646 67.797637
2026-05-17 0.062183 0.308161 1.159853 3.863928 11.311873 29.047356 71.298010